The Future of Nvidia’s Next-Gen GPUs: A Closer Look at the RTX 5090

Rumors regarding Nvidia’s highly anticipated RTX 5090 release date have been swirling in the tech community. In a recent video by Moore’s Law is Dead, an alleged insider source from Nvidia suggests that the decision to launch the next-gen cards in 2024 will heavily depend on the competitiveness of AMD’s RDNA 4 GPUs. According to the source, Nvidia’s next-gen consumer architecture will be based on the Blackwell GPU design and is being prepared for a potential launch in Q4 2024.

Factors Influencing Nvidia’s Decision

The fate of the RTX 5090 release lies in two key factors: the sales performance of the current RTX 40-series throughout the next year and whether AMD manages to launch its own next-gen cards that can pose a challenge to Nvidia’s market dominance. While AMD’s RDNA 4 GPUs are reportedly targeting the mid-range market, it is unlikely that they will directly affect Nvidia’s high-end segment. However, if AMD’s launch proves to be successful and begins to impact Nvidia’s sales, it may prompt Nvidia to unveil a new “halo” product to capture consumer attention and remind them of the impending GeForce generation.

If you are eagerly awaiting a next-gen Nvidia GPU in 2024, your hopes hinge on AMD stumbling with the RDNA 4 launch. Nvidia would benefit from AMD’s misstep as it could potentially regain and solidify its market share in the graphics card industry. On the other hand, if Nvidia follows through with its proposed release of the RTX 40-series Super cards in early 2024, offering improved performance at lower prices, it could establish the Ada generation as the go-to choice for the following year. In this scenario, it becomes less likely that Nvidia would launch the RTX 5090 at the end of the year, as it would risk cannibalizing its own product lineup.

Despite the uncertainties surrounding the RTX 5090 release date, the insider source claims that Nvidia is currently planning to emphasize the efficiency of the RTX 5000 series at CES 2025. This indicates that Nvidia is committed to launching the next-gen GPUs by the start of 2025. While it may still be a year away, it offers a glimmer of hope that we may witness truly groundbreaking GPUs in 2024.

One crucial question remains: how will the next-gen Nvidia GPUs perform? According to the insider source, the Blackwell architecture may not deliver the same level of pure raster uplift seen when transitioning from the RTX 30-series to the RTX 40-series. However, it is important to note that the final specifications are not yet finalized, and it is possible that a fully developed GB202 chip could provide a significant performance boost over the current RTX 4090. This potential improvement could make the leap from the RTX 3090 to the RTX 5090 just as impactful as the previous generational jump.

The Outlook

The future of Nvidia’s next-gen GPUs, particularly the much-anticipated RTX 5090, is still shrouded in uncertainty. The timing of the release will depend on various factors, including AMD’s RDNA 4 launch and the sales performance of the current RTX 40-series. Regardless of the outcome, Nvidia seems committed to delivering a next-gen experience, with plans to showcase efficiency advancements at CES 2025. While performance expectations may vary, there is a possibility for revolutionary advancements with the Blackwell architecture. Ultimately, only time will reveal how Nvidia’s next-gen GPUs will reshape the landscape of the graphics card industry.


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